Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 4.973881 5.664787 6.426087 7.328695 8.371594 9.541028 10.954913
2025-04-13 3.970656 4.849576 5.894336 7.233244 8.911371 10.955215 13.648474
2025-04-20 3.484811 4.482817 5.738220 7.444509 9.720323 12.675095 16.840716
2025-04-27 3.122710 4.189229 5.593982 7.597649 10.411346 14.265035 20.017082
2025-05-04 2.886453 4.015903 5.564366 7.868595 11.255234 16.120144 23.764621
2025-05-11 2.558165 3.669647 5.245787 7.677014 11.392102 16.952208 26.087473
2025-05-18 2.312324 3.410260 5.015739 7.575031 11.628485 17.929942 28.723393
2025-05-25 2.109855 3.191542 4.818418 7.491658 11.868572 18.918256 31.474727
2025-06-01 1.925762 2.981270 4.610208 7.362553 12.009541 19.744867 34.036037
2025-06-08 1.759538 2.782620 4.399519 7.203137 12.074135 20.436415 36.428004
2025-06-15 1.704368 2.756251 4.460726 7.498015 12.937595 22.588148 41.738685
2025-06-22 1.613190 2.661650 4.399220 7.572882 13.415563 24.097141 46.026101
2025-06-29 1.507215 2.534901 4.275105 7.529931 13.683660 25.266314 49.846592
2025-07-06 1.405246 2.406562 4.137017 7.447452 13.867333 26.293001 53.518592
2025-07-13 1.359387 2.372743 4.162015 7.667649 14.652022 28.579057 60.159180
2025-07-20 1.308060 2.324451 4.155834 7.826085 15.328697 30.721502 66.796293
2025-07-27 1.276809 2.310066 4.210149 8.105992 16.279678 33.542583 75.389766
2025-08-03 1.187172 2.179294 4.034051 7.908100 16.210278 34.165617 78.917832
2025-08-10 1.116458 2.079311 3.909177 7.802762 16.326324 35.206493 83.606453
2025-08-17 1.053762 1.990239 3.798620 7.716649 16.474124 36.333005 88.674237
2025-08-24 0.990913 1.896374 3.671366 7.583306 16.501477 37.181497 93.152420
2025-08-31 0.929722 1.801594 3.535272 7.418667 16.439855 37.810298 97.142729
2025-09-07 0.919398 1.809037 3.609282 7.723215 17.504759 41.298673 109.492538